Showing posts with label reviews. Show all posts
Showing posts with label reviews. Show all posts

Monday, March 7, 2016

Don Boudreaux's Review of Phishing for Phools

I'm a regular reader of Don Boudreaux's (George Mason U) blog Cafe Hayek so I was glad to see his review of George Akerlof's (Georgetown U) and Robert Shiller's (Yale U) recent book "Phishing for Phools." Boudreaux's review is very good and I recommend you read the whole thing. If you're not a Barron's subscriber, you should be able to bypass the gate by searching "Boudreaux ivory tower economics" in Google News.

The review begins with a short synopsis of the book. Akerlof and Shiller argue that most people, as consumers and investors, suffer from weaknesses and informational problems that lead them to buying things they don't really want or need. Entrepreneurs who take advantage of these problems are "phishermen" and those who fall prey are "phools."

As you might expect, food is a popular topic in the book. The folks at Cinnabon are said to create a product so irresistible, yet full of empty calories, that passersby are helpless to resist. Another example are "Sunkist" oranges. According to Akerlof and Shiller, this advertising "trick" causes consumers to buy too many oranges.

It's certainly true that these products are tempting and likely deliberately so. The questions are 1) whether these temptations amount to a moral problem and 2) what is to be done. Assuming that there is a moral problem, it's difficult to know what should be done. As I've discussed previously here on the FH blog, it's not enough to criticize real-world market results relative to perfect theoretical policies drawn out on a black board. We have to compare said market results relative to policies that operate in the real world.

Here's Boudreaux's analysis of Akerlof and Shiller's solution:
Suppose it’s true, however, that modern markets are chock-full of devious phishermen preying successfully upon helpless phools who buy too many oranges in the belief that each has been “kist” by the sun. What’s to be done? The authors offer no specific proposals. Yet they clearly imply that more government regulation is a key part of the solution. At one point, for example, they advocate “more generous funding” for the Securities and Exchange Commission; at another, they speak approvingly of greater regulation of slot machines.

Solutions via government are based on a glaring fallacy: that people deficient in choosing for themselves in the marketplace will automatically shed those deficiencies once the government authorizes them to choose for others. Ironically, while citing slot machines, the authors make no mention of a related scam: government-run lotteries. The lotteries are perhaps the most obvious example of how those who are supposed to protect us from phishing scams themselves eagerly phish for phools.

Nothing, indeed, could be more phoolish than for ordinary men and women to submit to elites who are as confident as professors Akerlof and Shiller that they know best how other people should behave. Such elitism poses a far worse danger to society than entrepreneurs offering aromatic pastries for sale.

Even if people are terrible at making choices in their own best interests, a fundamental truth is that they own their lives. Self-respecting people want to be free to consult those with greater knowledge. But they would much prefer to risk undermining their own well-being through their own choices than to be saddled, bridled, and steered by self-appointed experts.

Sunday, November 15, 2015

Phishing for Reviews

I've read several reviews of Akerlof and Shiller's new book "Phishing for Phools." The book is largely about the ways in which businesses trick people into buying things they "shouldn't." Below I provide some key quotes from 2 positive and 1 negative reviews of the book, followed by two short, negative reviews of the summary article Shiller wrote for the New York Times. Since even the positive reviews say the book lacks depth, I think the New York Times summary is probably a reasonable proxy for the book itself, at least in terms of its primary arguments.

I've not read the book, but based on the breadth of topics covered, it may be good to have as a reference for behavioral economics articles.

Positive Reviews
The Economist:
You Have Been Warned: Two heavyweights show how markets can turn against the unsuspecting
Economic models tend to assume that people are informed about the decisions they make; in the jargon consumers have “perfect information”. This supposedly enables consumers to make markets work to their advantage. But Robert Shiller of Yale University and George Akerlof of Georgetown University argue instead that this assumption is false. There are plenty of market equilibria, the authors find, where one party is being deceived, or “phished”. You may think you are doing well out of markets; you may behave quite rationally; but in fact you are being taken for a “phool”.
The London School of Economics and Political Science - Review of Books:
Book Review: Phishing for Phools
... Nobel Prize winners George A. Akerlof and Robert J. Shiller deliver a timely and much-needed plea against the free market dogma that surprisingly seems to have outlived the financial crisis. According to the two authors, big corporations take advantage of the ‘stories we tell ourselves’ and of our ‘monkey-on-our-shoulder tastes’. Our propensity to make choices according to multiple cognitive and psychological biases makes us easy targets for the phishermen. If one sentence could epitomise their thesis, it would be Jean-Paul Sartre’s’ famous saying: ‘We are what we make of what people want to turn us into.’

Negative Reviews
Arnold Kling (author, blogger, former Fannie Mae economist):
Phools and Their Money
Overall, I do not think that the authors chose well in starting with the Cinnabon example. They do not make the case that people who buy cinnamon rolls are doing something that those consumers would rather not be doing. Instead, it just seems that such consumers are doing something that Akerlof and Shiller find reprehensible. They need to come up with an objective way of making the distinction between satisfying consumer wants and manipulating consumers. It is demagogic to rely on one person's disgust at another person's consumption of fatty foods.
Michael Makovi (recent graduate in economics, Loyola University - New Orleans):
Do Capitalists Manipulate, Deceive, and Cheat?
But government regulation is not an infallible deus ex machina. The question is not whether the market fails, but whether the government is more likely than the market itself to correct those failures. Economist Harold Demsetz coined the term “nirvana fallacy” to make this point: it is not enough to find flaws in the real world; one must prove that some feasible alternative is likely to be less flawed. James Buchanan, one of the fathers of public choice economics, compared advocates of government regulation to the judges of a singing contest who, after hearing an imperfect performance from the first contestant, immediately award the second contestant, reasoning that he must be better.

Peter Klein (Baylor University professor of entrepreneurship):
George Akerlof, Meet Oliver Williamson
Shiller's worldview features a caricature understanding of free markets along with a naive and uncomprehending model of government regulation. I suppose we can blame the Times's editorial team, not Shiller, for the headline "Faith in an Unregulated Free Market? Don’t Fall for It." But it nicely illustrates the Shiller crowd's view that support for free markets is based on faith, rather than two centuries of reason and evidence. You might think that Shiller's coauthor George Akerlof could walk down the hall and speak to his UC Berkeley colleague and fellow Nobel Laureate Oliver Williamson for a better understanding of how markets work. Williamson, of course, is famous for explaining how market actors protect themselves against opportunistic behavior from other market actors through contracts, joint ownership of assets, reputation, exchange of "hostages," and similar practices. It is markets, not government, that enable cooperation and joint production in the face of information and incentive problems.
Relevant Farmer Hayek Posts
The Nirvana Approach in Ag Economics - Contributions of E.C. Pasour

Blackboard Theory Versus the Reality of Markets

Economics in TWO Lessons?!

Demsetz on Comparative Institutions